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Introduction
Substitute natural gas (SNG) is steadily becoming an established
commodity in the US because of its significant commercial
advantages in the natural gas trading market and its distinct
ability to be used as a feedstock in existing natural-gas
combined-cycle power plants and petrochemical facilities,
as well as supplementing future domestic gas supply.
As a totally fungible commodity, SNG actually has an advantage
over diesel production using coal-to-liquids (CTL) technology
because SNG easily meets pipeline requirements while Fisher-Tropsch
diesel is not exactly the same as petroleum-derived diesel.
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Proposed Hunton Energy plant that will supply SNG to Dow Chemical's Oyster Creek plant in Freeport, TX.
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Another substantial advantage of SNG is that no new infrastructure
is required because it uses existing natural gas pipelines,
which has been a deterrent to using different fuel types
in the power generation industry in the past.
It is much easier for project developers to obtain a long-term
offtake contract for SNG and it can be hedged like any other
commodity. SNG is also a way for integrated energy companies
to secure new natural gas reserves and is equivalent to
developing a one-to-two-trillion-cubic-foot gas field. Energy
companies such as ConocoPhillips and BP would rather develop
US natural gas reserves by using SNG than exploring and
operating in openly hostile countries.
The international coal-to-chemicals or industrial gasification
market has become strong very quickly overseas and is now
starting to grow in the US. The coal-to-power IGCC market
is mostly made up of domestic applications in the US - the
leader in coal-to-power.
The US began the year in 2007 with over two-dozen announced
coal-based IGCC plants, but only one has been announced
since then. Four of the projects that were most advanced
were shelved recently and converted to use natural gas.
There are three other viable projects but these have had
significant delays stemming mainly from slow regulatory
closure.
The cost of carbon capture has become the all-important
issue for US coal power projects and there is a lot of confusion
and claims of what can be done and a lot of barriers. Companies
such as ConocoPhillips and Worley Parsons are working to
evaluate performance and cost impact at various levels of
carbon capture, not just capture ready, but also commercial
technologies.
Climate mitigation has become a global imperative and US
developers are being pressed to use CO2 capture and sequestration
(CCS) or use the CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (EOR), but
this is not possible in the current regulatory framework.
All of these delays and uncertainties are turning the US
back to natural gas for combined-cycle generation and to
the plants that were built just six years ago. Now all the
country has to do is find enough natural gas to meet the
demand as LNG faces challenges all along its supply chain
and as Canadian and Alaskan projects are delayed.
SNG is part of the answer to increase domestic US natural
gas reserves because it is fungible and hedgeable and one
of the most traded commodities in the US. SNG customers
have existing pipelines and SNG is an already proven process.
Five years from now, the US will have only a few operating
IGCC plants as loan guarantees and tax credits are not as
beneficial to project development now because of escalating
costs. There will be more SNG plants than IGCCs and gasifying
coal blended with biomass will be the norm.
In about 10 years, there will be a 25% growth in the number
of gasifiers around the world from 400 gasifiers at present,
but these additional 100 gasifiers will see gasification
operating in the US with profit tied to EOR.
The regulatory framework will not be in place in 10 years
and that will be a major problem, but SNG is ready and the
ball is in industry's court to get the legal regulatory
framework ready after 30 years of hard work and now that
high-energy prices appear sustainable.
Join us at the Designing and Operating Substitute Natural
Gas Plants conference in Houston, April 10, 2008, hosted
by SYNGAS Refiner and Zeus Development Corp., to discuss
the future of SNG production in the US. |